BEIJING/HONG KONG — China may respond to the US shooting down its suspected spy balloon after warning of"serious repercussions", but analysts say any move will likely be finely calibrated to keep from worsening ties that both sides have been seeking to repair.
Some analysts said they will be scrutinising the seas and skies of East Asia for signs of tension, given growing deployments of ships and aircraft from China and from the United States and its allies. Both sides are widely seen as keen to stabilise relations after a turbulent few years, with the Biden administration leery of tensions descending into conflict and Xi eyeing a recovery for the world's second-largest economy after a severe Covid-19 slump.
Even in calmer moments, Chinese forces actively shadow US military patrols, particularly at sea, amid tensions over Taiwan and the disputed South China Sea, say regional military attaches. Mr Christopher Twomey, a security scholar at the US Naval Postgraduate School in California, said any Chinese response would be limited.
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