UP experts note COVID-19 downtrend but says Metro Manila should remain in GCQ

MANILA— A UP research group on Saturday noted a downtrend in the number of coronavirus disease 2019 cases in the country but said epicenter Metro Manila must remainder under general community quarantine , warning that a premature easing would lead to an "exponential" rise come Christmas time.

While numbers say the situation in NCR has "improved," the UP group also noted that Metro Manila has yet to achieve the 28-day case doubling time set by the country’s pandemic task force as a prerequisite to further change into the more relaxed modified GCQ status. Data as of September 21 showed that some 57 percent of COVID-19 beds in Metro Manila were occupied. Occupancy for COVID-19 beds dedicated to critical care was at 65 percent.

Positivity rate— or the number of people who test positive out of the total tested for COVID-19— has been at 10 percent over the past two weeks in the capital region. Officials earlier said they were considering placing Metro Manila under modified GCQ, the lowest of the four quarantine classifications.For nationwide case data, UP OCTA also noted a decrease in case numbers for the whole country, with the government tallying less than 3,000 cases daily over the past few days.

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