U.P. statistics professor: Robredo computed right in drug war report

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The Philippine National Police says Vice President Leni Robredo's computations are 'not even mathematically acceptable.' A statistician says otherwise.

University of the Philippines statistics professor“Generally, it is okay to use the estimated value in comparison to actual seizures,” Cayton told Rappler in a text message.

“Remember, that is our estimate, we did not say that that is the amount of drugs in the streets. It’s just an estimate on the kind of convertation that we are going to make, and it is only a theoretical assumption,” Gamboa said in a briefing on Tuesday. “In 2002, 10% of our population was affected by drugs so [it is a] safe or modest estimate if we have 3 million users in our country, the minimum sup­ply demand of drugs is 3 tons per week, 3,000 kilos per week,” Caramat said, as quoted by theIf the estimate came from 2002, the numbers would already be outdated. Rappler sought Caramat for clarification, but he has not replied.

 

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So if Leni is just looking for shabu seized as the best indicator of supply constriction success, she's just displaying her ignorance.

So Leni Robredo missed out a HUGE PART of the government's action, and that is to prevent shabu from being made by closing these laboratories. Kung sarado na ang mga lab, malamang kakaunti na lang ma-seize mo dahila ang mga ma-seize mo eh ang mga na-iimport na lang.

Shabu sold in the streets used to be made in the Philippines, but because of these closures, they are now mostly being imported. Thus, there are less to be seized as production of shabu is stopped not just from the point of distribution but from the point of production.

Leni Robredo, in her excitement to show her mathematical prowess, forgot that during the last three years at least two major shabu laboratory were raided and closed: Pampanga (2017) and Catanduanes (2018). According to Real Numbers PH, 14 shabu labs were destroyed in three years

Maglabas din sila ng analysis

yet another 'expert' another 'expert' from the other side could say the same and nothing still changes. Rappler PR at work. 🙄

So what if the PNP Ninjas can’t do math... drunkninjas

Ang sakit sakit sakit siguro nito na malaman para sa bawat apologist ng peryaang bayan. Sa kanilang hanay ay puro payaso at tindero ng pangakong ampaw. Sa hanay ni VP Leni ay ang mga alagad ng liwanag laban sa dilim ng kamangmangan..

May mahabang pila ng mga taong nasa posisyon sa malacanang. May pahalik daw duon sa puwet ng maitim na poon🤣

Mga dilawan Lang mga naniniwala dyan.

I agree with the article but the way it was written feels like a personal narrative instead of a news report.

The unspoken part is that the PNP doesn’t have its own analysis to contradict Robredo, because it hasn’t done the work.

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