Some farmers may skip planting rice amid PAGASA's El Niño warning

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Some farmers are hesitant about planting rice this coming season, amid the state weather bureau’s warning that El Niño could begin as early as next week, which could lead to supply problems next year.

Camarines Norte and Southern Leyte could see a drought by the year’s end, while 36 other provinces could face a dry spell, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration said.,” Danilo Guevarra, president of the Farmers Association in Tiaong town, told CNN Philippines.

[Translation: Here in Tiaong, some parts of the barangay dependent on rain aren’t planting this season.]Sumibol man ang palay, mamulaklak man ito at nakaturo na ang uhay, ibig sabihin walang laman ang uhay nito[Translate: Even if the rice grows and its flowers bloom, if the ear is pointed this means it's empty.]

Federation of Free Farmers Cooperatives national manager Raul Montemayor said that rice stock would be stable until December but warned that grain inventories would shrink. This could lead to major rice supply problems in the lean months of July to September next year, especially if farmers stop planting, he said.“Vietnam and Thai [Thailand] prices have gone up by 5% compared to January, February this year. 5% translates to ₱2 per kilo landed in Manila with tariff.Meanwhile, PAGASA Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section Chief Ana Solis explained that El Niño doesn’t always mean absence of rain.

 

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