Residents walk along a flooded street as they head home after they were stranded overnight in Kawit, Cavite, on October 30, 2022, a day after tropical cyclone Paeng hit the country.
Based on the PAGASA’s rainfall forecast for March, “near-to-above normal” rainfall is likely in most parts of the country, except in the western parts of Luzon, which may receive “below normal” rainfall. By April, Luzon may experience below-to-near normal rainfall, while Visayas and Mindanao may have near-to-above normal rainfall.La Niña, or the cooling of sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific and characterized by above-normal rainfall, is responsible for the excessive rainfall in some parts of the country that triggered floods and landslides, especially in areas vulnerable to these hazards.
Meanwhile, El Niño increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall conditions, which could have negative effects, such as dry spells and droughts, in some areas of the country.
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