Two or three tropical cyclones may enter or affect the country this month, based on the average cyclone frequency inside the Philippine area of responsibility during the period 1948-2015.
According to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration , the climatological tracks of tropical cyclones inside the PAR in October suggest four common tracks. La Niña is characterized by unusually cool ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.
The rains could be triggered by stronger easterlies, enhanced northeast monsoon or “amihan,” and tropical cyclones.
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