For the first time since we entered lockdown last year, I can imagine an exit strategy from the COVID-19 pandemic for our beloved Philippines. It will be a challenging uphill race between the Filipino people and the SARS-CoV-2 variants. Our goal will be to reach what I am going to call “no-mask” immunity, which is that level of population immunity that will allow fully vaccinated people to remove their masks together in a public space.
There is one primary argument for prioritizing vaccination in the NCR+8: by suffocating the virus in those regions that drive the pandemic, we will be able to dramatically reduce the risk of surges in all the regions of the country. Imagine if we had reached no-mask immunity in the NCR a few months ago.
First, we will have to deploy between 35 to 52 million or so doses to the residents of the NCR+8. To do this before Christmas, we would have to administer around 300,000 doses per day in the target regions of our country alone. Given our recent vaccination rates, however, I think that this is a reasonable target rate that we should be able to exceed.
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