“A decreasing reproduction number indicates that the trend is slowing down. One way to think of this is a decreasing growth rate, cases are still rising but at a slower pace. In past surges, a peak is always preceded by a decreasing reproduction number,” David explained.
However, he pointed out it is still uncertain as to whether the capital region is already nearing the peak of COVID-19 surge. “Are we close to the peak in the NCR? Hopefully. Because the trends being observed are based on limited data, there is still uncertainty when the peak might happen. Again, hopefully sooner than later,” he added., the Philippines reported over 32,000 new COVID-19 infections, bringing the total active case count to 208,164 – its highest yet.that the spread of COVID-19 in the country is slowing down as the government observes spikes in regions near Metro Manila.
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