Gov’t adviser notes ‘early signals’ of another COVID surge

Citing data from Johns Hopkins University, Dr. John Wong, a member of the IATF technical working group for data analytics, said the weekly count of cases entered positive territory in a number of instances over a 30-day period, notably before the May 9 elections and days after the Department of Health declared local transmission of virus variants.

Johns Hopkins defines the weekly growth rate as the change in the number of confirmed cases over the last seven days relative to the number in the previous similar period.“We’re seeing early signals of a surge. Over the past month, there have been three instances of reversals of the decreasing growth rates of cases,” Wong said in an online press briefing on Wednesday.

But Wong, founder of the health research institution EpiMetrics, said the public should focus on factors that “increase or decrease the likelihood of a surge,” namely virus variants, people’s behavior, and environment. On Tuesday, the DOH reported that Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon posted an uptick in active COVID-19 cases in the past week, but that the country remained at minimal to low risk for infections as the “slow” upward trend was offset by other indicators including hospitalization and the average daily attack rate.

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