Euro zone inflation drops more than expected in relief for ECB

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Euro zone inflation eased more than expected last month as underlying price growth also slowed, backing arguments for only cautious further rate hikes as the fastest ever European Central Bank monetary tightening cycle starts to take effect. | Reuters

The ECB has raised base rates by a combined 375 basis points to 3.25 percent over the past year to combat runaway prices.

Several influential policymakers, including the central bank governors of Germany, the Netherlands and Ireland, have also put a July rate hike on the table, but there is wide agreement that the outlook beyond that is too murky to commit. The ECB is also likely to take some comfort from the slowdown in food inflation to 12.5 percent from 13.5 percent as pressures on that front were still expected to build for some time.“The European inflation outlook is highly affected by two opposing drivers,” ING economist Carsten Brzeski said.

Euro zone wage growth is hovering in the 5 percent to 6 percent range, twice the rate that would be consistent with the ECB’s inflation target.

 

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