The region's reproduction number, or the number of people infected by a single case, also decreased to 3.22 as of Jan. 11, he added., the reproduction number should be below 0.9 to indicate that cases are decreasing. On the other hand, a rate of above 1.4 means infections are increasing exponentially.
But if the trend is solid, cases could further drop between 16,000 and 18,000 on Jan. 15 and 15,000 and 16,000 on Jan. 16, he added.David also cautioned that the new testing rules could manipulate the numbers. When asked if limiting tests to only three priority groups would result to inaccurate data, David agreed.Case doubling time, or the duration for the doubling of infections, also slowed down from 2.2 to 4 days, Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire said.
Vergeire also gave assurances that"we are still seeing the true picture" in the number of COVID-19 infections in the Philippines. "We are still guided by the numbers we are getting from our laboratories, [....] although meron po talagang iilang porsyento ng mga nagkakasakit na hindi na natin naitatala dahil they opt not to have their tests anymore and just isolate. 'Yung iba naman, meron hong delays sa turnaround time ng ating laboratories," Vergeire said.
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