COVID-19 active cases posibleng pumalo ng 430,000 kung hindi nag-ECQ: DOH

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Without ECQ in NCR Plus, active cases could reach 430,000 by end of April, according to DOH

Watch more in iWantTFC Naniniwala ang Department of Health na kung hindi inilagay ang National Capital Region at mga karatig-probinsiya sa enhanced community quarantine , posibleng pumalo ng 430,000 ang bilang ng mga aktibong kaso ng COVID-19 sa Pilipinas sa katapusan ng Abril.Batay ito sa projection ng Feasibility Analysis of Syndromic Surveillance Using Spatio-Temporal Epidemiological Modeler, na tumutulong sa gobyerno na maintindihan ang datos tungkol sa COVID-19.

Pangalawang scenario naman ay kung ipagpapatuloy ang "NCR Plus Bubble" hanggang katapusan ng Abril, makikitang mas mababa ang bilang ng mga kaso pero pataas pa rin ang trend. "Naiintindihan natin ang economic implication nito. Hindi ito isang desisyon na gagawin natin ng mabilisan. Titignan natin ang datos sa susunod na linggo, kung kinakailangan po ba ito," sabi ni Dr. Alethea de Guzman ng DOH Epidemiology Bureau.

Sa datos ng DOH, 1.8 milyon ang health workers, 9 milyon ang senior citizens, at 14.5 milyon naman ang mga may comorbidities.

 

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