Coronavirus cases in PH: Are we seeing the true picture yet?

Does this mean the numbers reported by the health department already reflect the extent of the spread of the disease?

Health experts say no. They noted a number of tell-tale indicators to prove why this is not yet the case.Former health secretary Manuel Dayrit said the number of cases being reported daily is the"picture 7-10 days ago at best," when you take the period between the onset of symptoms and the confirmation that one is positive for the virus.

"The infection had already been playing itself out and being contagious from January 21st" until the confirmation was announced, Dayrit told Rappler."And that plays out all the time for every case that you find." He roughly computed that if a"multiplier effect" – a scenario where those who died or those who tested positive had infected others – is considered, there could actually be at least"3,500 or 4,000 cases already" at this point, and even if just 5% of these got seriously ill,"that's 200 cases all at the same time to fill up now your critical [care] beds.

The World Health Organization and DOH epidemiologists earlier estimated that in the Philippines, the number of coronavirus casesData scientists Erika Legara and Christopher Monterola of the Asian Institute of Management also computed that infectionsDr Darwin Bandoy of the College of Veterinary Medicine at the University of the Philippines Los Baños likewise projected that if COVID-19 spirals out of control, there could be, and that the spread won't taper off until the month of October...

'Former' officials almost always seem to gain substantial wisdom and knowhow AFTER leaving their government posts.

Can you just replace Duque?

Meaning the figures are not real time scenario. We have a week or so backlog.

Akala ko ba 2-3 na lang? Haaay DOHgovph

EdselSalvana should we blame atomaraullo for this, too?

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