Climate 'reality check': 2021 global CO2 emissions near record levels

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Global CO2 emissions caused mainly by burning fossil fuels are set to rebound in 2021 to pre-Covid levels, with China's share increasing to nearly a third of the total, according to an assessment published Thursday.

Overall, CO2 pollution this year will be just shy of the record set in 2019, according to the annual report from the Global Carbon Project consortium, released as nearly 200 nations at the COP26 climate summit confront the threat of catastrophic warming.

"This report is a reality check," co-author Corrine Le Querre, a professor of climate change science at Britain's University of East Anglia, told AFP. Carbon pollution from oil remains well below 2019 levels, but could surge as the transport and aviation sectors recover from pandemic disruption, said the study in the journal Earth System Science Data.

The latest figures are in line with a recent International Energy Agency forecast that emissions from energy would hit an all-time high in 2023, "with no clear peak in sight". "The rebound in China was robust," said Peters. "It looks like China is in a phase of strong growth again." The wild card that could determine how quickly the world can finally bend the emissions downward is coal, the report made clear.Very little of the trillions of dollars chanelled to post-pandemic recovery was earmarked for green development, a trend that is continuing, she said."Economic incentives now are about driving consumption, and this is really pushing industry, production and coal.

 

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