It has ended the careers of two Prime Ministers and left the very future of the United Kingdom in question. Scotland's case for independence is becoming harder to ignore while Britain's perceived selling out of Northern Ireland has played into the hands of those wishing to see Irish unification.
The key question that needs answering in the next 11 months: Will the UK stick with its European neighbors and their multilateral view of the world? Or will it drift across the Atlantic and team up with an increasingly confrontational American foreign policy? But as Trump's America drifts further from the European agenda on so many big issues -- from climate change to Iran engagement with China -- any decision Johnson makes favoring one party risks straining relations with the other.The EU's China problem is acute. On one hand, stagnating European economies benefit from Chinese investment. On the other, that investment comes with the potential security risk of allowing state-owned Chinese companies to operate in Europe.
"The EU's top priority is balanced relations between the big two: China and America," says Steven Blockmans, head of foreign affairs at the European Center for Policy Studies."If the UK has a closer relationship with either, it could create problems for Europe." "A clampdown on assets that are held or transferred through the city is crucial to maintaining a common European stance," says Blockmans. Johnson's advisers assume he will stick to his hard line on Russia, but there are long-term concerns in eastern Europe. If he budges even slightly, it causes problems for Ukraine, whose independence from Russia is an EU priority.
The most complicating factor in all of this, of course, is the unreliable figure currently occupying the White House -- who happens to be up for reelection in November.
hopefully not the last
tsk tsk tsk
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