Bracing for La Niña

While El Niño remains active and expected to persist until end of this month, climate models suggest a transition to neutral conditions in May-June with a likelihood – or 62 percent chance – between June-July-August 2024.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration or PAGASA has been continuously monitoring the El Niño Southern Oscillation in the tropical Pacific. Pre-developing La Niña historically, is characterized by below-normal rainfall, therefore, the possibility of a slight delay on the onset of rainy season is likely with the combined effects of the ongoing El Niño.

Warmer-than-average temperatures were observed across most of the country while several regions were declared under a state of calamity due to El Niño’s impacts.

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