[ANALYSIS] Towards a 'hegemonic transition' or 'hegemonic stalemate?'

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A strong state, it might be noted – one that was far stronger owing to its revolutionary origins than the classic developmental states of the Asia Pacific rim – had made the difference.

Now, to the question of ideology. Ideological legitimacy rests on the CCP’s ability to deliver economically, provide political stability, and convince the population that it is central to achieving what Xi Jin Ping has called “national rejuvenation.

With the limited results of Trump and Navarro’s trade and technological squeeze on China, the Biden administration has moved the focus to the military front, its latest move being to bring in North Atlantic Treaty Organization naval vessels from Europe to regularly patrol the South China Sea along with ships from Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, and Australia.

Perhaps, for comparison, we should be looking not so much at a hegemonic transition but at the emergence of a hegemonic vacuum akin to but not exactly the same as that which followed the First World War in the 20Century, when the weakened Western European states had ceased to have the capacity of restore their pre-war global hegemony while the US did not follow through on Woodrow Wilson’s push for Washington to assert hegemonic political and ideological leadership.

 

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