[ANALYSIS] Inflation, ’di hadlang sa gastos ng mga Pinoy?

Bumulagta sa lahat ang report ng gobyerno noong Nobyembre 10 na sa ikatlong quarter ng 2022, lumago ang paggastos sa ekonomiya nangSa isang banda, at sa unang tingin, kabilib-bilib ito dahil mas mataas sa 6.1% median estimates ng iba’t ibang ekonomista.

Lumalaki rin ang kontribusyon ng transportasyon, lalo na’t nagbukas na rin ang face-to-face classes sa mga paaralan. Kitang-kita naman natin ito sa grabeng paglala ng trapik.Sa kabilang banda, kahit papaano’y makikita na rin sa datos ang epekto ng tumataas na inflation, na noong Oktubre ay umabot na saUna, mapapansin sa Figure 2 na sa mga nagdaang tatlong quarter ay paliit nang paliit ang kontribusyon ng pagkain sa growth ng consumption.

Isa pang paraan ay ang pangungutang. Makikita rin sa Figure 5 na tumataas ang porsiyento ng mga household na nagsabing uutang sila sa susunod na quarter at sa susunod na taon. Ang problema, mas matumal ang growth ng industriya dahil humina ang sektor ng construction. Muli, sanhi ba ito ng tumataas na presyo ng materyales?Isa sa pinakamalaking takeaway sa datos ay makikita sa Figure 9. Sa wakas ay nakarecover na ang ekonomiya natin, kung ang ibig sabihin ng recovery ay ang pagbabalik natin sa antas ng produksiyon noong katapusan ng 2019 .

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