Amid grim outlook, IMF says things could get better, or worse

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Coronavirus shutdowns have made for a grim global outlook this year, but the IMF said Wednesday if things go right, the recovery could come sooner than projected in their main forecast.

The situation could also deteriorate beyond the tough figures given given in the World Economic Outlook, which project a global contraction of 4.9 percent, followed by a recovery of 5.4 percent in 2021.

At the time of the April forecast, IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath said her team "very strongly felt that the uncertainty was predominantly on the downside. This time round, we have both an upside risk, and a downside scenario." But even with additional fiscal support from governments, "the outbreak is assumed to cause further longer-lived damage to the supply side of economies starting in 2022, as increased bankruptcies lead to capital destruction, temporary slowing in productivity growth and a temporary increase in trend unemployment."- A faster recovery -

 

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thats the imf playing safe!

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