El Niño is characterized by “unusually” warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific that could cause negative effects, such as drought and dry spell, in some areas of the country.However, PAGASA-Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section Chief Ana Liza Solis noted that another effect of El Niño is the occurrence of above-normal rainfall, particularly affecting the western parts of Luzon.
According to Solis, the months of June and July will see above-average rainfall in the Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, Calabarzon , Mimaropa , and Bicol Region. Based on PAGASA’s latest forecast, 10 to 14 tropical cyclones may enter or form within the country’s area of responsibility from May to October: one or 2 in May, one or two in June, two to four in July, two or three in August, two or three in September, and two or three in October.
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