A public health official disinfecting some things in Wuhan, China
The measures sent the numbers of new cases tumbling, and parts of Hubei province, where Wuhan is situated, have slowly started returning to normal. The Wuhan outbreak came at the worst possible time — on the eve of Lunar New Year, when tens of millions of Chinese travel to celebrate with their families.
The team also predicted the impact of lifting control measures. Their models suggested that waiting until April to lift social distancing would reduce total infections by a quarter. “However, the city now needs to be really careful to avoid prematurely lifting physical distancing measures, because that could lead to an earlier secondary peak in cases. But if they relax the restrictions gradually, this is likely to both delay and flatten the peak.”
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