With the changing realities in next year’s electoral permutations, there is an increasing likelihood that the first ballot at the February 25 presidential election may not produce a clear winner.
Although, with their current standing, the presidential candidate of Peoples Democratic Party , Atiku Abubakar, can still boast 21 states, where he is certain to get 25 per cent, while his All Progressives Congress rival, Bola Tinubu, is confident of 20 states, where he can also pull his weight. This latest development follow a recent THISDAY poll – The Explainer – released by the THISDAY 2023 Election Centre, where a breakdown of the new realities is advanced, with implications for each candidate.
Let's wait and see.
PO will win outrightly.
It is well
Not scientific. Mere speculation. This will erode your integrity as a media organisation.
.a abb A୧( ಠ Д ಠ )୨😉😉🍎🍎sg🍎🍎b .b
Premised on poor permutations ! Wait and see
They play
Am still seeing Northern presidency strong even having votes in the SW, SE, NC, SS.. Aba nau.. Baba is about completing good 8years... una won put north person again... Chai.. Nigeria Unity above all self interest.. Power rotation best to keep the country 1.
If Mr. Obi no get presidency now, East make una forget presidency as Nigeria is concern.. other regions are supporting him.. why dont u all support him not even one vote 4 any party in SE & SS.. What APC lead government did to east na small to the one coming..make una wake up..
Let’s hit the polls and wait for the results.. period ..
Here are your 2015 and 2019 poll, all turned out to be fake.
This is likely projection not the real results because some state will still go fully for Atiku while some to Tinubu while Obi may not have all the state projected for him and kwankwaso may not win Kano
Haba!THISDAY even political toddler will not make this projection go and re-do your work
The political permutations of these 'experts' are very interesting! The permutations premixed on influences of Govs on election results - where ruling Gov's party is most likely winner! But the OsunDecides outcome, courtesy of BVAS & Irev, shld hv bn factored in.
Let’s remind you…. We will keep this one too and remind you when you’re tainted forecast is in the mud!
Shame to Arise and This day rubbish. You people cannot demoralize us after collecting money from Atiku. This your strategy will not work.
Pdp trying to accept defeat
Stop believing in this poll and this is not real and coming to election day,the result will shock people 🙄
We are 60M Obidient, we are a determined force. From January 1, 2023, we will occupy the whole states with HE PeterObi the only way or no way. Our PVC is the only way, and voting is the only WILL to take back our country. Focus is the way for a determined force, Keep matching.
The game changer
Dear , When are you going to stop embarrassing your organisation with these projections concocted from the “bear parlour”? When are you going to start doing real statistics with sample populations from the streets in rural and urban areas in Nigeria? Please stop!!!
There is no run off anyway it clear in crystal form that P O will emerge oh yes atleast for once let do what is right for the sake of our children
Very incorrect and misleading assumptions by this day. We know Nduka as Atiku supporter. Peter Obi and the teeming Nigerian people will change your narratives come 2023
Since 2014 you guys statistics have been a failure
Atiku 21? Ok 🤣🤣
This is mere permutations with no scientific background. is allowed this freedom but its a deliberate calculation and the aim known immediately it is published. You will notice the flaws reading through.
The ones you did in 2015 nah fake projection . No credibility and track record .
Beer parlor projection as usual by paid hacks
It's a projection not a poll oh.They did ask any person questions on who they will vote for because if they did,it would have clearly been PO.PO is everywhere will win this election.Thisday na PDP and at least make Athiefku still win small thing na 😂🤣
I'm aware that Nduka has eaten so much from Okowa and he has decided to give the Mikano's team motivation to release more money. This is a projection and not a poll. Peter Obi is winning...
Abeg Mention the states
Olu with our money. No way. Ayodele (SAN) and Osuala with Lagos State took our bikes, marine engines etc. which are over one billion naira in the current market price. The status quo. They must be planning assassination as their only defense.
Fetinubu 2023
Nobody in this Nigeria situation will vote APC OR PDP and will all know how it will end(rigg) election
Brown envelope
This is fruitless projection,2023 will surprise some people
yemi_adebowale Rubbish arm chair permutation. The voting pattern has changed and will change further come 2023. Conduct a poll. Send people into the field and collate figures and not this arm chair predictions to shore up Atiku's chances. What is on ground is quite different.
I knew this was a bad joke when Thisday gave Obi 35% in both Edo & Rivers! Lol. In February lessons would be duly learnt to the establishment!!!
With entire south west,kogi,Kano , Katsina,Sokoto,borno ,yobe etc in Asiwaju even with PDP mouth piece predicting,it's obvious APC is home and dry
This is absolute rubbish. Make una continue to dey play. Lessons will be learnt in 2023 and bitterly too.
This is a clear pathway for how the elections would proceed!
20+21 state= 41 states..........how many states do we have in Nigeria again 🤔 or maybe these guys are smoking something before typing!
SE - Will have a splitting votes across Board. It will be a race btw 3 Political Parties. LP, PDP and APC. But one thing dat is 100% Certain is dat, NO Political party will dominate in this region. But quite Certainly, PDP will coast to Victory in Abia and Enugu Shikena.
These are speculations based on the old evil structures that the BVS is going to destroy. Get your shock absorbers because there will be a lot of shocks coming.
ATIKU and his PDP party should Forget all States in SW and NW, APC will win them all. In SS, Bayelsa, Delta and possibly Rivers（if Wike support) are in d bag for APC. NE - Gombe, Borno, Yobe are sure Victory for APC. NC - Nassarawa, Kwara, Kogi, Plateau are in d bag 4 APC.
Nduka Obaigbena, What sort of thrash article is this published by your media House?
This is Cock and Bull prediction. I don't see ATIKU winning in more than 10 States across d federation. APC will sweep to landslide Victory in this Election.
Discredit!
Peter Obi will win and will become the next President of Nigeria….today is 27.12.2022.
Every body fit project, so leave pdp media with thier projection, make i go project my own
Thisday want to gaslight gullible people with this shenanigan analysis. Useless nonsense projection.
RemindMe_OfThis
This day analysis is very ridiculous, laughable and inconsequential. You can never stop Obidient movement with this propaganda that you put together. Nonsense.
Fake poll! Far removed from reality.
Liars!
Peter Obi has 65% in 30 states sure of. There won't be any run -off election, landslide victory for PO is sure.
I don't see any run off Atiku will win at first ballot, with the way things are going in the North where is the stronghold of the APC have now lose control of the entire NW , NC and some states in NE .
On which permutation? Lol 😂 we re mentally balance more than this
Osun and Ondo..are obviously voting on ethnic sentiment but u chose to not describe it as such. But made sure u made it out in that of south east....we can't be running our country like this ..on ethnic division...not good
Ondo State: PDP has always done well in the presidential elections in Ondo, the sentiment that Tinubu is Yoruba might have tainted the pattern. Therefore, Tinubu is at 45 per cent, Atiku is at 20 per cent, Obi is 10 per cent, Kwankwaso 10 per cent, and the others/undecided
2) u are creating a picture in d south east that obi is been voted for because his Igbo...but fail to do the same for the northern states that chose not to vote for obi ..at all..again in d south west state. U chose to describe osun and Ondo with nicer words
1)My first issue with ur analysis was choice of words wen to south east: Abia State:The ethnic sentiment is also prevalent here and this sees Tinubu doing 10 per cent, Atiku doing 15 per cent, Obi comfortably on 60 per cent, Kwankwaso is non-existent, and the others/undecided.
Go and ask Hilary Clinton what happened after she was given false hopes from fake polls.
Thisday is struggling here to make this election appear close .But they know it is not going to be.Kwakwanso and Obi percentage in many states are false but meant to give the impression of a tight race between Atiku and Tinubu.Atiku has won this election and thisday is saying it.
This News house don’t see what is coming. Just like you could not foresee the effect of the new media today to your business, your prediction do not capture the reality on ground. Nigerians are away the two Presidential aspirants you focused on, has fat pocket to pay you but wait
Who does projections before any vote is cast and with no exit polls? This serious malpractice.
Not for what is on ground !!!
Sometimes I see these projections or supposed opinion polls as possible rigging formula by and for those interest parties. Let us, at all levels,prepare our minds for a free,fair and credible elections where the will of the people will hold sway,and go for it
Obidents should jubilate. We have at least 17 states and insignificant number to match 25 states. We will get there. Now we know where to concentrate. Obi should not campaign in katsina, sokoto, zamfara, jigawa and bornu. It will amount to waste of 💵🎉🎊🎊🎊🎆
Your permutations will fail you all come 2023....!!! Peter Obi all the way..!!! He is the new hope for a better Nigeria
Run off increasingly likely in your collective prejudiced minds. Balderdash!!
It’s a Rubbish projection
There will be run off, it's clear
Abun dariya, wai yaro ya tsinci hakori
We need a poll not projections.... How did you come across your figures? How come you said ATIKU had 21 state with minimum 25% instead of 23 What a glaring error..... This is shambolic and unacceptable unless we know your methodology.
🤣
P Obi is going to be the winner🥇 by the special grace of God and the will of majority of Nigerians come 2023.
There will be no run off!!!! The victory of PeterObi will be a clear and indisputable landslide victory.. Peter Obi is the next President of Nigeria and Commander in chief of the Nigerian Armed forces.. Know this and know peace
APC newspaper too should released their own poll and project Tinubu with largest poll percentage.
This day, that day, f00lish day. Just dey your dey. We already know Peter Obi will win on that day.
A warped projection designed to give Atiku/Okowa the edge. Nduka Obaigbena is from same place (Ika) with Okowa. There is no way on earth PDP will win Delta state, falacy! Peter Obi will clear Delta state with 60%+. Peter Obi will clear Taraba state clear. Inaccurate projection!
I laugh at this in Chinese this is 1 against the other polls released mere looking at the statistics in the South South its clear this a analysis was done by a 2years OLD
Any permutations without conducting poll us nonsense
This result is a big lie....Obi will not get any vote in north east? This guys are very funny... let's wait and see
Useless newspaper and PDP that do not engage in grassroots mobilization but projecting nonsense for themselves. Ok we are watching
These are projections and NOT polls. Carry out an opinion polls and get back to us.
When you see Kwakwanso with projected 15% in Ogun state you already know it's rubbish poll..
Nduka skewed analysis to do atiku a false favour dot LIES💔
No be you people again. Dreamers
Very laughable. There will.not be any run off. Asiwaju will win clearly. Start preparing for Asiwaju's swearing in.
PDP behind this day post...........u will be disappointed cos Nigerian youths will decide next year, it's no longer as business as usual. We will take our country back to Nigerians, the right owners from the cabals next year.
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 Atiku to win In South-south.... Bwahahahaha
Any permutation that gives PDP an edge over APC in Kwara is flawed. That's the same state PDP lost woefully in 2019 even with Saraki as a sitting SP. Atiku winning BAT in Osun is also a joke. Oyetola lost the election with just 35k votes despite the conspiracy n over-voting.
Normally, ThisDay can never be objective in their 2023 elections analysis. They are Atiku/PDP. PDP can't win in Kwara, Kogi, Osun & Bayelsa. Tinubu will win those States.
This day predicted Atiku to win in 2019 it was opposite. ANAP/NOI in all their past polls came to pass as predicted. Ruben Abati released this poll from his room after collected dollars from Atiku. Abati shame on you
This is funniest poll ever, AriseTv and Thisdaylive should leave this poll sh!t and focus on their reporting journalism. This is the most child!sh poll ever. Editorial boards will sit in their offices and write rubbish and tag it poll. Pls go to the field and sample opinions.
🤔🤨🤷🏽♀️
Will make us to even be serious more than before
80% of people that votes normally don't come out for any campaign. A man from Anambra called Eze came out at the same time they released this baseless poll that Peter Obi should withdraw from the race. can you imagine that? Peter Obi is the next president of Nigeria and this poll
Lol, ARISETV didn’t conduct any poll. They are just guesting . Conduct poll and come out with your findings than playing nonsense PDP politics.. bcoz if your platform have conducted polling across the 6 geopolitical zones, You will not come out with this ur nonsense result
So we now have 41 states in Nigeria?
Kwankwasiyya Amana New Nigeria people party New Nigeria is possible New Nigeria is coming
I wonder why Obidients engage in this fruitless analysis! Let's hit the streets, grassroots and leave analysis and projections for those that make a living out of it! The goal is ObiDattiInAsoRock2023!
All these permutations. Seems like they don't rate Nigerians enough to vote credible leaders
If Thisday, a known pdp media house can give Atiku 25% in 21 states, it’s very clear they know Atiku can not win and won’t get 25% in 21 states.
😂Funny predictions, the person that wrote this is still dreaming
Only God know how much Atiku bribe this news paper to misleading with this poll. Poll is poll and we're not disturbing at all because we still have 60 days to election. Peter Obi is the next president of Nigeria.
Your percentage completely translated to self-induced figures with mere intent to hype the chances of Atiku at the poll. There won't be a re-run election because Tinubu is winning a landslide victory.
Obidients in Pain It is time you accept the reality. Your idolo won't satisfy the 25% requirement in 24states talk less of having the majority votes but we are all here for likes and retweets😀😀😀
This prediction factors old order into place. Why not carry out offline poll instead of prediction which is not reliable
Thisday is bent in promoting Atiku, this will be his worst outing. If there will be run-off, then it will be between Obi and Tinubu as Atiku will place a distant 3rd
Continue living in the past until it downs on you that this is a new and a different political landscape in the country All the polls has rightfully placed Mr Peter Obi as the leading candidate to emerge victorious This your psychological game isn't gonna have any effect ✌️✌️
PO will be president and there will be no run off.
I still wonder what Kwankwaso is aiming to achieve..
Even if I don't knw of other states,I know your permutation on Ogun state is a big lie.
This is crazy polling. Why Kwankwaso would be doing better than Obi in some southwest states is crazy. This report is fallacious. Is it the same Bauchi that PDP is using Obi's picture to campaign is where Obi is at 5%. This poll is misleading.
Can't Thisday joke with you guys again, hahahahaha
PDP will not win Bayelsa State, your permutation there is 100% wrong.
Mtchewwww. Is Thisday not a brother media to Arise TV, where Rufai Luggard and Reuben Abati, Former Deputy Governorship candidate to Kashamu work? Their bias is unparalleled.
imao wack analysis in Lagos state that PDP is non existence in Presidential election this day is still projecting them with 20%, even in ogun state dat NNPP is not known much their projecting Them at per with labour party with 15‰15%.
Obi nko? 25percent on all social media site
21+20=41, last time I check Nigeria has 35 state and FCT
Atikun Dai
Oyo and Osun percentage for Atiku is very wrong, you will see
That is your forecast but God will surprise you all
They stay in one room and project rubbish. PeterObi will get 35% from Edo? I repeat SS, SE, NC and Lagos is in the bag for PO. 25% is potentially in the bag for atleast 25 states.
Who Dey give this Yeye analysis?😅🤣😅
Thisday still at the old way of doing things Fab will shame una
This is blatant lie.
Bereft of professionalism. Terrible analysis
Very funny report
There 36 states in Nigeria. 20 plus 21 is 41 states, how come
And how many state in total? ...🤡
😆😆😆. PDP lite and PDP Pro Max newspaper. Peter Obi will come a distant 3rd or 4th. You guys will become so unreliable after Feb. next year.
...and Peter Obi has 20 states sure of at least 50% and 10 states sure of 25%
Labour Party should focus on Southwest, North-central and certain states in the north-east to push for 25% and overall victory. It's time to leave the Northwest (besides Kaduna and to some extent Kano) for the APC, PDP and NNPP to cancel each other
There will be nothing like run-off. The winner will be declared at first ballot
Your obvious bias towards the PDP,is embarrassingly stark for everyone to see.
ThisDay is a junky media establishment
This is honest analysis.
well peter obi should work harder in the North West.The labour party there should work with the support groups there.Though I think thisday is overestimating the influence of the governors on this election.
Pls do well to carry out your media role in ensuring there are no rigging or vote buying. That's all well meaning Nigerians ask of you.
Very funny report.
Hahahahahahah. Keep for reference.
Una just dey manufacture figures here
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