PT State of the Race: Is it a three-horse race?

and National Republican Institute of the United States of America seem to think so too.

But despite its complex primordial divisions, Nigeria has never had a runoff presidential election. The closest we got to it was in 1979 when Shehu Shagari of the National Party of Nigeria avoided a second-round face-off against Obafemi Awolowo of the Unity Party of Nigeria, through a controversial interpretation of the law by the electoral commission and the departing military regime of Olusegun Obasanjo.Yet, the 1999 election was the only one involving only two candidates.

Can the emergence of Messrs Obi and Kwankwaso change the character of the election, and in such a manner that may force a runoff next year? Can either of them present a third force that may transform the presidential election from a duel to an affray, so to speak?The candidates of LP and NNPP evidently believed that they have a better chance of doing that by both of their parties working together. But the alliance talks floundered over a disagreement on who would lead a joint ticket.

But, as has been widely observed, not much of him is being seen outside cyberspace. He is yet to really have his boots on the ground. Unlike Mr Kwankwaso whose party has created a sensation of its own in some states, especially in the north, through mass inflows of notable politicians and defectors from other parties, LP, for now, seems not to extend beyond the personality of its presidential candidate.

To become a viable third force, Mr Obi needs experienced people across the country to build a structure for his party ahead of the election. He also needs funds to do that. His supporters have branded his campaign as a movement of the people, but it is not clear how they intend to turn that movement into votes on Election Day.The NNPP made massive gains of new members after Mr Kwankwaso joined it from the PDP.

While the PDP has a mixed-faith ticket, there is also a controversy over the party’s breach of its own constitution on the rotation of power between north and south of Nigeria. Mr Obi also stands to benefit most from this, given that the South East considers itself the victim of Atiku’s seizure of the PDP ticket.

What of Kwankwaso?

What about Kwonkwoso and Sowore.

What of Kwankwaso?

Which 3rd horse? Only APC and PDP.

Sowere right now

Two horse 🐎 race. PeterObi or PeterObi

Obi and the other misfits…2 horse race!

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