Citizen scenarios 2060: A necessary and hard look into the future, By Ibezim-Ohaeri, Dion, et al.

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With every citizen’s engagement, a more accountable government is in place, which makes a better future more achievable for many.

Migration, both external and internal, will emboss the next 40 years. A 2019 Africa Polling Institute finding indicated that 32 per cent wanted to leave the country if they could. Two years later, that number had skyrocketed to 73 per cent. Now hold your breath: In student seminars held across the six geo-political zones with over a thousand participants, 90 per cent of the youths said that they would leave the country if they could.

So, where do all of the essential workers – doctors, nurses, teachers, engineers – come from? Frankly, therein lies the existential question. For without enough of these professions, this house will fall. The only potential economic silver lining to mass migration will be remittances from abroad – which could ensure that millions eke out a living.

There is a potential silver lining in rapid urbanisation – the economies of scale and the creation of services that do just that – serve the public. First and foremost, transport. Then, housing. Next, health; medical staff, essential workers, etc. A city of three or five million, let alone 15 or 30 million, cannot function without these basic services.

First and foremost, climate resilient infrastructure, land reform and proper urban planning, will go long ways in addressing these needs. The alternative is a free for all, where victory goes to the highest bidder and equity is barely an afterthought, indeed, just an interesting policy from once-upon-a-time.

 

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