ANALYSIS: How Nigeria, neighbours can defeat ISWAP terror group

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Mass defections crippled JAS, one of two Boko Haram factions, but the same fate is unlikely to befall ISWAP.

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Lake Chad Basin authorities took advantage of the mass defections from JAS in a bid to weaken the group further. Tens of thousands of people have already left JAS-controlled territories, with still more departing. The state governmentBorno Model manages the exits, most of which happen in Nigeria – the epicentre of the crisis. The model encourages members to leave JAS, and reintegrates them back into society in keeping with its community-based reconciliation approach.

When former fighters’ expectations about reintegration are unmet, some return to a life of violence, as happened with former Sulhu participants. ISS reported how a senior commander, Adam Bitri, left a government safe house to team up withof a traditional ruler in former President Muhammadu Buhari’s hometown in Katsina State. One was killed during the rescue operation, while the other two returned to ISWAP. The terror group executed them for spying for the government.

To defeat ISWAP, affected countries need to re-evaluate their strategies. The factors that aided the much-celebrated mass exits from JAS may be untenable with ISWAP, as the group works hard to prevent desertions.

 

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