Stifel predicts S&P 500 to rise 10% then plunge in 2025
The firm's strategists predict that the index could see a 10% increase before reversing course next year, potentially falling back to levels observed at the beginning of 2024. This would see the U.S. benchmark index rising to about 6,400.
Stifel analysts argue that the current overperformance of growth versus value stocks is reminiscent of patterns that have historically preceded bear markets. The assessment comes amid concerns that if the Federal Reserve continues to lower rates into 2025 without a recession, it could hinder the return to a 2% inflation target, with investors ultimately bearing the consequences.
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