UBS lifts its 2025 S&P 500 price target by 8%
to 6,400, representing an 8% increase from its previous forecast of 6,000. It also adjusted its 2024 target, now set at 5,850, slightly higher than the prior estimate of 5,600.
For economic growth, UBS economists forecast nominal GDP expansion of 3.7% in 2025 and real GDP growth of 1.6%, both in line with long-term averages. Strategists outlined several key factors that are expected to drive the S&P 500’s performance. They forecast 4.8% revenue growth in 2025, with 3.4% coming from nominal GDP and an additional 1.4% from the strength of the TECH+ sector.
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