Most Candidates Who Think 2020 Was Rigged Are Probably Going To Win In November

Most candidates who think 2020 was rigged are probably going to win in November. More, via FiveThirtyEight:

However, very few election deniers are running in toss-up races. Toss-up races are rarer in general — particularly as partisan redistricting— but there are disproportionately fewer election deniers facing these kinds of odds than Republican candidates overall.

Meanwhile, Republican candidates who have accepted the legitimacy of the 2020 election are less likely than election deniers to be in Solid R races. Of the 67 Republican candidates who accept the 2020 election, 30 — or 45 percent — are running in races where they have 95-in-100 or better odds. This includes candidates such as North Dakota Sen.

We considered the viable candidates for races in which more than one Republican was running for office in the general election.

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