What can we expect from the 2024 local elections?

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Local election contests are an important bellwether of how political parties and groupings are faring in the run-up to the next general election

Analysis: County and city council elections, more commonly referred to as local elections, will take place on June 7th, along with elections to the European Parliament. The potential electorate for local election contests is larger than for any other electoral contest in the Republic of Ireland , as voting is open to any registered adult , normally resident in the State, irrespective of their citizenship.

The greenani, which saw big gains for the Green Party in the 2019 local elections, also swept into the general election contest months later, with their number of TDs increasing from two to 12. But this is not a hard and fast rule. The poor Sinn Féin performance at the 2019 local elections appears to be an anomaly given the level of gains made by that party at the 2020 general election.

From RTÉ Radio 1's Morning Ireland in 2019, RTÉ political reporter Mary Regan on the number of women contesting the 2019 local elections A successful local election campaign effectively"bloods" potential general election candidates, offering them valuable campaign experience, while working as a councillor allows them to further build up their local support base and gain a reputation for"getting things done for their local area", which are crucial elements for future success in local and general election contests.

There are interesting trends to note in terms of candidate selections at local elections. Political parties are more likely to run bigger numbers of candidates in specific regions, usually in their areas of strongest support. There is a tendency for higher numbers of women candidates to be associated with the more urban constituencies, but especially those located in the Dublin region.

This occurred, for instance, in 2004 when turnout levels for the local elections were higher than in the 2002 general election in a number of peripheral rural areas and some working-class urban areas. The suggestion here was that these were areas that felt detached, or marginalised, from central government, but were also more reliant on local authority services than people from middle class urban areas, for instance.

Ireland Irish Research Council Maynooth University Politics Local Elections 2024

 

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