Summer Economic Statement and half-year tax returns to set budgetary parameters

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Minister for Finance Michael McGrath scrambling to keep lid on Government’s budgetary package

Minister for Finance Michael McGrath is likely to use the statement to warn about the overheating risk facing the economy.We’ll get a better look at the Government’s budgetary plans and general economic outlook with the publication of the Summer Economic Statement , now part of the pre-budget choreography.

Broadly speaking, the SES sets out the Government’s financial position ahead of the next budget, in other words how much it has in the kitty for new spending and tax measures. The speculation is that the Government will signal an additional budgetary spend of €5 billion, comprising €4 billion in spending measures and €1 billion in tax cuts.

Around the same time, half-year exchequer returns, to the published by the Department of Finance, will point to the relative health of the public finances. June is typically the second-biggest month for corporation tax, which delivered a record €22 billion in receipts for the exchequer last year. The June numbers will signal whether we’re in for another record year.

Minister for Finance Michael McGrath is scrambling to keep a lid on the Government’s budgetary package, which is expected to breach the spending rule, which limits net spending increases to 5 per cent per year, for a second year in a row. That said, the breach is expected to be limited, still within the 6 per cent bound.

 

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