The speculation is that the UK would either abandon some or all checks on goods entering Northern Ireland if it did invoke article 16. And we know that the EU is looking at how it might retaliate, via trade or tariff measures.The protocol says actions must be specifically related to the problems created, but it the language is general and open to interpretation. Trade wars hurt everyone, but with a UK government, which thrives on chaos and distraction in office, it cannot be ruled out.
But what is the UK’s long-term game plan, if indeed it has one? If it tears up the rules and stops checking goods crossing from Britain to Northern Ireland, then it presents Ireland, and the EU, with a problem. Everyone has agreed that there is no prospect of a border on the island of Ireland – either politically or practically.
For Ireland, a border in the Celtic Sea would mean some parallels in terms of the movement of goods as currently exists with the movement of people. Ireland is not a member of the Schengen agreement – to which 22 EU members and four other countries have signed up. It eliminates all border passport controls. The fact that Ireland was outside this tent made it easier to retain a common travel area with the UK, even after Brexit.
Of course there is another way forward – a united Ireland following a border poll, all inside the EU single market. And if the current drama does develop into a serious crisis, then it can only add to the political push for a poll to happen, even if a lot of the groundwork for reunification remains unfinished.
Perhaps this will all settle for now if some kind of UK/EU deal can be done – and the EU has offered more than the UK will have expected. Let’s hope so. But you wouldn’t bet on it. The Pandora’s box opened by Brexit is not going to shut any time soon.
Is the goal of certain elements in the Conservative party the breakup of the EU?
The idea of a border in the Celtic Sea first raised last year on RTE by UUP ex-leader M Nesbit. The current leader D.Beattie now revisiting it. Classic Unionist distraction tactics. Being used now by UK Govt as yet another spanner to throw into the works in their dealings with EU
Never gonna happen. If anything we’ve seen Ireland fully backed by the EU despite the doubters.
We could ban the sale of all British made products in Ireland in conjunction with heavy sanctions on British products in Europe until they came into line A better alternative than a hard border on Irish soil.
Never!
The UK need to cop on. Acting like a spoilt child.
'Ireland would risk being seen as less than a full member of the EU' - only if Ireland gives in to the demands of the master.
It can only end one of three ways, a border across Ireland, a United Ireland, or Ireland returns to being subservient to britain. There is no middle path
That would be great, get the best of the 2
I dunno but you 🇬🇧, can tell us all, us peasants....
There is a further option. Close EU ports until the UK gets in line.
Not sure who is the biggest laughing stock at present, the Tories or the DUP?🤣🤣🤣
UK here is a rat in the corner. Ireland is in it's way.
I'm pretty we still have a veto so good luck with that.
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