China 's race to dominate new 'clean' technologies such as solar panels has motivated retaliation in both the US and EU, further worsening relations among the economic superpowers. Photograph: Michael Conroy/AP
Economists recognise three valid arguments for such interventions. The first concerns “externalities” or uncompensated benefits provided by a firm. The most obvious come from what workers and other firms learn from it. There also exist national security and other social externalities. The second argument concerns co-ordination and agglomeration failures: thus, a number of firms may be viable if they start together, but none may be viable if it starts on its own.
Yet failure is not the only risk. So is success. Industrial policies run the risk of provoking international retaliation. South Korea used protection of domestic markets as an indirect way of subsidising exports, thereby creating successful new industries. But it was a small country, under US protection. For larger countries, international repercussions must be taken into account. This is something China has learned recently, with its race to dominate new “clean” technologies.
The answer is that there are now at least three bipartisan positions: nostalgia for manufacturing; hostility to China; and indifference to the international rules that the US itself created. This, then, is a new world, one in which the international trading order could reach a breaking point quite quickly.
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