Fractious Israeli relations pose election risk for Biden

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Will US President Joe Biden be the biggest political loser of the Gaza war? And has this week, of rapid fire and movement on this issue - and others - been the tipping point in an election of fine margins?

If that is so, the binary logic of US Presidential elections implies Donald Trump will be the war's biggest political winner.The suspension of a weapons shipment to Israel marking a significant inflection point in relations with a key ally and exposing the president to yet more criticism from Republican politicians, of course, but also from some Democrat politicians concerned that it sends the wrong message at the wrong time.

Mr Biden’s national security spokesman explained the US position on Friday afternoon:"We continue to believe in the power promise of a two-state solution and an independent state for the Palestinian people. The limits of US power - and the prestige that rests on it - exposed, tested, picked over by small players in the Middle East while Russian President Vladimir Putin rallied his troops in Red Square and promised them another victory in Europe and China’s President Xi Jinping visited Paris, Budapest and Belgrade, a reminder that other hegemons are available.

But there were others of the"never Trump" wing of the Republican party, who have often given Mr Biden a pass on policy decision, that rounded on the president over this one. Mr Smith also thinks its counterproductive, taking the pressure off Hamas to agree to a ceasefire deal quickly and encouraging them to believe the US is on the point of abandoning Israel – it isn’t, but it is exasperated by Mr Netanyahu’s government.

He thinks the significance of suspending the arms shipment on Wednesday has been overblown:"The US still supports Israel. We also want to get to a better humanitarian situation in Gaza. That's the very difficult terrain the president is trying to navigate." "I think it's perfectly understandable why we wouldn’t support that kind of, or series of, maneuvers against Hamas. But eliminating the threat of Hamas – absolutely. They have every right to do that, and they'll continue to have our support as they do that."However, he said that the US believes there are"better ways" to defeat the militant group such as"more discreet, more targeted, more careful" methods.

This is particularly the case in the sections covering the supply of humanitarian aid to Gaza’s civilian population. "Israeli civilian protestors periodically blocked entry points into Gaza during a multi-week period in January and February, resulting in reduced aid flows," it said.

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