Climate Cops hitting peak capacity may prompt scale-back of UN negotiating process

Delegates applaud after a speech by Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, President of the UNFCCC COP28 Climate Conference, during a plenary session on day thirteen of the UNFCCC COP28 Climate Conference in 2023 in Dubai. Photograph: by Fadel Dawod/Getty Images

“The UN has largely lost the confidence of youth climate advocates who feel betrayed by what they see as a deck stacked heavily on the side of polluters. Given the enormous conflict of interest, oil industry executives should not be allowed to heavily influence, much less preside over the summit,” prominent climatologist Michael Mann

Cop28 surprisingly made early progress, he adds, with agreement on setting up a loss and damage fund – a financial mechanism designed to provide crucial support to vulnerable nations facing the brunt of climate-related challenges. “The chair had been receiving all sorts of negative publicity in advance of the meeting and needed an early ‘win’ to provide any momentum and take the focus off his alleged conflict of interests.

My personal view is that the slow extension of ‘carbon border adjustments’ promised by the EU is one way of getting the problem of climate change into the economic arenaSaving 1.5 degrees by containing temperature rise to that key Paris Agreement target became a mantra at Cop26, less so at Cop28 when the IPCC declared it almost beyond reach. “No doubt saving 2 degrees will become the next mantra,” Sweeney says. Meanwhile nationally determined contributions are widely flouted.

The ever-escalating size of Cops up to now, and logistical difficulties at forthcoming gatherings in Azerbaijan and Brazil is pushing the case for smaller gatherings. The prospect of scaling back has been raised by UN climate chief Simon Stiell who said he hopes to see fewer people after participants at Cop28 in Dubai hit a

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