The SI Golf betting panel shares their picks for the Charles Schwab Challenge, highlighting Rickie Fowler, Alex Smalley, and Russell Henley as top contenders. The course at Colonial Country Club favors accuracy over power, and the panelists offer insights on each player's recent form and course fit.
The SI Golf betting panel had a successful week, going 5-1 and gaining over 7.5 units on prop bets. This week, they turn their attention to the Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas.
Colonial is known as one of the toughest courses on the PGA Tour, featuring tight fairways, numerous doglegs, long par-3s, and only two par-5s. Measuring just over 7,200 yards, the course demands accuracy over power, making it a challenge for long hitters and a haven for precise ball strikers. The panel's consensus is that a big name will win, with several members picking Rickie Fowler at +2500.
Fowler has shown excellent form in recent months, with top-10 finishes in three signature events before a disappointing T60 at the PGA Championship. However, his driving accuracy ranks inside the top 40 on Tour, a key attribute for success at Colonial. Iain MacMillan notes that Fowler has played well at this event historically, including a T6 in 2023, and believes the course suits his game.
The panel also sees value in Alex Smalley at +3500, who has been on a hot streak with six straight top-21 finishes, including a strong showing at the PGA Championship. Smalley ranks fifth in the field in approach over the last 36 rounds and has gained strokes on approach in 10 of his last 12 starts. His putting is also top-notch, making him a solid contender at a favorable price.
Russell Henley, another pick, is coming off a third-place finish at the Masters but has had a rough stretch since. However, his recent T16 at Colonial in 2023 suggests course familiarity, and he ranks highly in driving accuracy and approach for this style of course. The panel also mentions longshot candidates like Lee Hodges at 175/1, who is a highly accurate driver and has a T12 at this event in 2024.
Andrew Novak, fresh off a T26 at the PGA Championship, is another pick, having gained over four strokes on approach. Jackson Suber is noted as a talented but unproven player. Overall, the panel believes the field is wide open, with many players having question marks, making this a great week for value bets.
The panel's overall record and their detailed analysis of each player's recent form, course history, and statistical strengths provide a comprehensive betting guide for the Charles Schwab Challenge. With Colonial's demanding layout, accuracy and short game will be crucial, and the panel has identified players who excel in these areas. Whether it's Fowler's resurgence, Smalley's consistency, or Henley's proven course fit, there are strong options at attractive odds.
For those looking for bigger payouts, Hodges and Novak offer intriguing longshot potential. The tournament promises excitement, and the SI Golf panel's picks provide a solid foundation for bettors to consider
Charles Schwab Challenge Golf Betting Rickie Fowler Alex Smalley Russell Henley
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