What To Think About Biden’s Latest Poor Poll Numbers

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Joe Biden,2024 Election,Polling

Daniel Marans covers national campaigns and elections.

President Joe Biden speaks during the commencement ceremony of Morehouse College, a historically Black men's college, in Atlanta on May 19.The polls, conducted with Siena College and the Philadelphia Inquirer, found that among registered voters, Biden trailed former President Donald Trump in five battleground states — Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Michigan, and Pennsylvania — and led him in just one, Wisconsin.

“The reality is that many voters are not paying close attention to the election and have not started making up their minds — a dynamic also reflected in today’s poll,” Geoff Garin, a Democratic pollster, said in a May 13 statement circulated by the campaign. “These voters will decide this election and only the Biden campaign is doing the work to win them over.”: Biden’s overall challenges stem mostly from his current weakness with core Democratic constituencies.

“We continue to see that many of the Biden administration's initiatives around pricing, things like junk fees and Medicare price negotiation are enormously popular, and meet what voters want to hear.

Lakshya Jain, a co-founder of the electoral data analysis site Split Ticket, attributed at least part of the gap to some Democratic-leaning voters’ desire to express frustration with Biden as their party’s nominee — a frustration they may be more likely to vent about to pollsters than act upon in the polling booth.“That high of a degree of ticket-splitting is a good flag that voters are pissed off and are expressing discontent,” Jain said. “We call that expressive responding.

“We continue to see that many of the Biden administration’s initiatives around pricing, things like junk fees and Medicare price negotiation are enormously popular, and meet what voters want to hear,” Roth Smith said. “They just don’t hear enough about it, and they don’t think it’s what he’s running on. Sometimes they don’t even know he’s done it.”

Joe Biden 2024 Election Polling

 

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