The possible death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi could impact Iran politics for decades to come

The disappearance and possible death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi portends a period of turbulence in a country that has made itself central to multiple conflicts across the Middle East.

Iran’s Foreign Minister, Hossein Amirabdollahian, was reported to have been on the same helicopter, along with other senior officials and religious figures. The helicopter was one of three that travelled in a convoy to the Azerbaijani border to mark the opening of a dam on the Aras River that divides the two countries. The dam project was part of an effort to improve ties between Iran and Azerbaijan, which have been strained by Azerbaijan’s close relationship with Israel.

“Raisi’s death will add to the leadership chaos in the Islamic Republic,” said Masih Alinejad, an Iranian-born journalist and women’s rights activist now living in the United States. With Mr. Raisi out of the picture, she said, “there is no clear candidate to replace Khamenei.”“Everyone should pray for the health of these people who are serving the Iranian nation,” he posted via his verified account on X.

Iran and Israel have traded unprecedented direct blows in recent months. Israel launched an April 1 air strike that struck an Iranian diplomatic compound in the Syrian capital of Damascus, killing 18 people, including eight members of Iran’s elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Iran retaliated 12 days later by firing more than 300 missiles and drones at Israel, though the large majority were shot down by Iran, the U.S., Jordan and other countries before they reached their intended targets.

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