Members of the Russian military walk amid the rubble, near a damaged car, in a location given as Avdiivka, Ukraine, in this screen grab obtained from a social media video released on Feb. 22.Russia’s recent battlefield gains against Ukrainian forces have come at great cost and are probably not sustainable in the near term in spite of Ukraine’s severe munitions shortages, according to a NATO intelligence assessment.
“Such losses will affect the tactics of the enemy’s further actions, compelling them to rely on infantry operations devoid of armoured-vehicle support across the entire operational theatre,” it said. “The Ukrainian withdrawal from Avdiivka really demonstrates the need for more military aid to Ukraine to ensure that Russia doesn’t continue to make further gains,” the official said. “Without a doubt certainly hindered Ukraine’s defence of Avdiivka.”
He added that Russia “will be likely unable to mount any significant offensive operation without another large-scale mobilization.” Unless a new recruitment drive happens – Russian lawmakers two weeks ago passed the first reading of a revised mobilization bill – Moscow may not be able to mount a major new offensive until some time after the spring, he said.
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