When the ball goes up a little after 7 p.m. ET Sunday night, and the Raptors and Sixers each try to play their best 48 minutes to keep their seasons alive, Toronto’s rotation will have the clear edge when it comes to simply having been there before.
Meanwhile, Philadelphia’s was. And, as it turns out, the only starting lineup to outperform Toronto’s during the playoffs is Philadelphia’s, which is just edging out the Raptors with a 25 net rating. You ought not to do that in a Game 4, 5 or 6, either. But it happens. We saw it Thursday at Wells Fargo Center. Players have off nights. Maybe their shot isn’t falling. Or their energy level’s low. Sometimes, really important players get gastroenteritis. Weird stuff happens in NBA basketball games all the time. And there’s really nothing anyone can do to prevent it from happening Sunday, regardless of experience. That game is going to play out as it will.
With such a minuscule, 48-minute sample responsible for such dramatic, season-altering consequences, it’s almost pointless to analyze the data and trends the first six games of the series have produced and look to them as predictive of what might happen next. It’s one basketball game. Anything can happen.
In Game 5, Green was 5-for-7 from distance; in Game 6, he was 2-for-8. You can bet he felt just as confident going into each game. Gasol picked up only three fouls while playing against Joel Embiid in Game 3; he had five in Game 4. It’s not like he was guarding him any differently. Siakam was 12-for-15 from the field in Game 1; he was 9-for-25 in Game 2. The shots he was taking came from the same areas of the floor.
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