Posthaste: Salary hikes on the way amid acute labour shortages

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It\u0027s difficult to match up current unemployed workers with available jobs

The “mismatch” between Canada’s labour demand and supply is hitting the most pandemic-impacted sectors particularly hard, a phenomenon that TD Bank Group experts say is likely to push wage growth higher in those sectors.

That job vacancy number is significant, TD economists Sri Thanabalasingam, Uthman Adepoju and James Marple wrote in a Wednesday note. “Based on the relationship between job vacancies and unemployment that existed prior to the pandemic, the job vacancy rate in July would be consistent with an unemployment rate roughly half of what it is today.”Article content

Wage growth has stayed “relatively subdued” even as concerns of labour shortages have reached a fever pitch, but “fchoice but to increase pay to attract new workers,” they said. The accommodation and food services sector is making an “outsized contribution” to market imbalances, the TD economists wrote. That’s followed by the business, building and other supports sector and the finance and insurance industry, which has seen significant labour demand growth thanks to real estate and financial market activity in the pandemic, but may be suffering from a shortage of available workers with the right skillsets.

 

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So many unemployable people make up the unemployment numbers.

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