Opinion: Five lasting implications of COVID-19 for Canada and the world

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Five lasting implications of COVID-19 for Canada and the world GlobeBusiness

This translation has been automatically generated and has not been verified for accuracy.Paul Deegan, CEO, Deegan Public Strategies and former deputy executive director, National Economic Council, the White Housewanghe/Getty Images

The first implication is debt, mountains of it. Fiscal stimulus by the federal and provincial governments is massive, and needed, to respond to an unprecedented health crisis that has precipitated a sudden and unique recession. Estimates will vary given the economic uncertainty, but we will likely see federal deficits north of $125-billion this year, with more of the same next year, and matched by large provincial deficits.

The third is national health-care systems, and their capacity to respond to known unknowns. The COVID-19 crisis has highlighted the integrated nature of a resilient health-care system: strong research capabilities to identify the sources of an illness and develop responses, world-class public health modelling capacity, innovative firms developing health-care solutions, well-trained and equipped front-line medical staff and surge capacity in our hospitals.

The fifth is geopolitics, with a rise in nationalism and decline in multilateralism. A striking feature of this pandemic crisis compared with the global financial crisis of 2008 is the relative absence of international co-ordination: The superpowers have struck decidedly go-it-alone tones, the Group of 20 was late to the crisis and showed little leadership and even the European Union devolved into national responses to the crisis.

 

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