Robert Rotberg is the founding director of the Harvard Kennedy School’s program on intrastate conflict and the author of books including, most recently,appears destined to remain that way, at least for now. This week’s contested election of Bola Ahmed Tinubu as president – with less than a third of the total vote in the continent’s most populous country – presages little fundamental change from the underwhelming, sclerotic presidency of Muhammadu Buhari.
Mr. Tinubu – the 70-year-old Muslim former governor of Lagos State, representing Mr. Buhari’s ruling All Progressives Congress party – promises to wield a limp duster rather than a stiff broom. It is not clear that the president-elect will have the desire or ability to squelch the takings of the politicians and gangs who profit so readily from the speculation, influence-peddling, extortion and large-scale criminalized procurement fraud that ARE all too common in Nigeria. Indeed, Mr.
These weaknesses were compounded by Mr. Buhari’s decision to invalidate larger-denomination naira, the national currency, without ensuring that there were enough replacements available in banks and ATM machines – and to do so on the eve of the election. That massive glitch may well have prevented potential voters from paying bus or taxi fares to polling stations, and infuriated much of the electorate.
As well, Nigerians are feeling unsafe, amid fears of bandits who kidnap people travelling by road or rail. Last March, a busy train travelling between the capital of Abuja and Kaduna State in the north was attacked, and more than 50 people were held hostage; it took until October forThe big cities of the north and south, along with many rural areas in-between, are afflicted by the same issue. The decade-old Boko Haram insurgency has also cost more than 10,000 lives.
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