Morning bid: Jobs test Fed relief, Apple buyback bump

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Subject of emergency alert message arrested - May 2, 2024 | SaltWire #dartmouth #update #suspectThe strength of the U.S. labor market will give Wall Street's interest rate relief a reality check on Friday, but Apple's monster share buyback has buoyed the market in advance.

The upshot is that futures markets have bumped up full-year Fed easing expectations to 40 basis points on Friday - 10 bps more than was priced just before the Fed meeting. And two-year Treasury yields have fallen to three-week lows below 4.90%. Cooling inflation fears in the background have seen a recoil of U.S. crude oil prices this week, back below $80 per barrel for the first time in almost two months. And even though the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization said its food price index ticked up in April, it remains 7.4% below the level a year earlier after hitting a three-year low in February.

The week's intervention forays, which estimates suggest may have totalled up to $60 billion in dollar sales, have tended to come in relatively thin and illiquid markets. The Hang Seng Index climbed 1.5% for a ninth consecutive day of gains - its longest winning streak since January 2018.

 

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