India's central bank likely to hold rates steady until at least July- Reuters poll

Halifax police investigating Monday morning Dartmouth death as suspicious | SaltWire #newsupdateBENGALURU - The Reserve Bank of India will keep interest rates unchanged until at least July, a bit longer than the U.S. central bank is expected to do so, on strong growth and still-elevated inflation, according to a firm majority of economists polled by Reuters.India's economy grew a stellar 8.4% in the fourth quarter of 2023, the fastest among major economies.

They were, however, divided on when the first cut would come, with nine of 52 saying next quarter, 24 picking the third quarter, 17 saying the fourth quarter and the rest expecting it at a later time. Median forecasts put the rate at 6.25% by the end of September and 6.00% at the end of this year. "While the year-long downward trend in core inflation will be seen as encouraging, MPC members will likely not deem this sufficient and rather err on the side of caution, waiting until the headline numbers are on a clearer downward path towards the 4% mid-point target."

Although growth was forecast to slow to 6.6% next fiscal year from 7.6% in the current fiscal year - a significant upgrade from the 7.0% predicted for this fiscal year just a month ago - it would still be the fastest among major economies.

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