Growing sense of uncertainty looms over Democrats’ 2020 primary

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The lack of enthusiasm for Biden’s candidacy underscores a broader trend emerging in the states that matter most in the party’s high-stakes presidential nomination fight: primary voters appear to be getting less certain of their choice as Election Day approaches

Democratic presidential candidates stand on stage for a photo before a debate hosted by CNN and The New York Times, at Otterbein University, in Westerville, Ohio, on Oct. 15, 2019.Look no further than Pearl City Station, a plain brick building set along the banks of the Mississippi River, to understand the growing sense of uncertainty seeping into the Democratic Party’s 2020 primary contest.

The historically large field, while in part of measure of the desire to oust the incumbent president, has also made it harder for the top contenders to forge a more focused contest. Nine Democrats so far have qualified for the party’s November debate and a dozen more are still fighting for attention. Among the top tier, the liabilities of Biden, Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Sen. Bernie Sanders, in particular, are becoming more visible as Iowa’s Feb. 3 caucuses approach.

Back in Iowa, 43-year-old Waterloo school employee Danielle Borglum said she expected to finalize her decision after watching the last debate, but she couldn’t do it. While significant, history suggests that the uncertainty currently defining the 2020 primary season is not totally unique.Before Iowa’s 2004 contest, for example, former House Majority Leader Richard Gephardt, Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman and Vermont Gov. Howard Dean all led the polls at times before then-Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry made a late surge to win.

 

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