Game #117 Preview: Berríos vs Montas

The Blue Jays head to New York to open up one of their biggest series of the year, a four game set against theJosé Berríos will go for the Jays, making his 24th start of the season. The wildly mixed bag of results that has defined his season has turned to a lot more bad than good recently, with just one quality start in his four outings since the All Star break. His last two starts in particular have looked about as bad as he has all season, allowing a combined 13 runs over 7.

On the season, Montas is now 4-9 with a 3.59 ERA. His 3.53 FIP matches that pretty close, as he has done a good job this year on all three factors of FIP. His K/9 rate is 9.19, his BB/9 rate is 2.64, and his HR/9 rate is 1.04. All three of those are better than league average, although in the case of home runs allowed, it is pretty close. And now that he’s pitching in the friendly confines of Yankee Stadium, he could definitely flip to the other side of league average there pretty quickly.

With Springer likely at DH and Danny Jansen probably behind the plate catching Berríos, Alejandro Kirk may be in line for his second off day in 4 games. Kirk hit his first extra base hit since July 28 yesterday. That was a stretch of 59 PA without an extra base hit. Remarkably, that was just his second longest such streak of the year, as he famously went 70 PA without an extra base hit to open the season.

Joining Stanton on the IL is Matt Carpenter, who was having a monster season before breaking his foot a week a half ago. Since coming over as a free agent at the end of May after being released by the Rangers, Carpenter was hitting .305/.412/.727 over 154 plate appearances. He’s out for several more weeks, and could very well be out for the season.

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