Canadian universities bet on international students, but global shifts present risks

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There have been massive changes in the sector, with study permits for Chinese students in Canada plunging 40 per cent since 2018. Permits for students from India – where English is far more widely spoken – have meanwhile doubled

When the University of British Columbia announced the launch of Vantage College in 2013, the school said it envisioned the program for fee-paying international students would have enrolment of 1,000 by August 2016.

The struggles of Vantage College reflect the unpredictable nature of the lucrative international education sector, as Canadian universities find themselves beholden to geopolitical and economic shifts.UBC spokesman Matthew Ramsey said in a written statement that “work is under way” to assess the Vantage model.

“It’s a big sector,” said BCCIE executive director Randall Martin, noting the industry covers everything from K-12 education and two-year transfer colleges to language schools and degrees at large universities. Statistics Canada data show that students from the world’s two most populous countries accounted for more than half of the almost 550,000 study permits issued by Canada in 2022.

“I think Canada was portrayed as not a safe place for Chinese students in the Chinese media, and our numbers did go down a bit,” he said. “I wonder if some families are thinking, ’God, should we spend all this money up front if we’re worried about our child is going to graduate and not have a job to come back to?’”

Indian international students tend to be proficient in English and do not require pathway programs, Fischer said. She described Orchard Commons as “not crowded” and offering ample space for her and other Vantage students.While the number of Chinese students have fallen across Canada, overall international student numbers are on the rise, largely due to students from India.

Fischer said there is a precedent in Canada’s dispute with Saudi Arabia over the kingdom’s arrest of human rights activists in 2018. Permits issued to Saudi students fell from 5,080 in 2017 to 1,185 in 2019.

 

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