Assuming current scenario holds, 'we're looking at a Liberal win,' Nanos says

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The Liberals are in winning territory with votes coming from mail-in ballots heavily in their favour, according to projections from niknanos

With only one weekend left before Canadians head to the polls, Nik Nanos, the founder and chief data scientist at Nanos Research, said they have been crunching the numbers in their seat projection and modelling data over the last few days.

Examining the share of seats in the House of Commons the Liberals could win, Nanos said it looks like history is shaping up to repeat itself in 2021.According to Nanos Research’s nightly tracking data conducted for CTV News and the Globe and Mail, which was released on Friday, those Canadians who plan to vote by mail-in ballot are four times more likely to vote for the Liberals than the Conservatives.

“Those mail-in ballots are four times more likely to favour the Liberals than the Conservatives,” he said.As for how the parties are currently doing according to the latest nightly tracking data, which was released Friday, the Liberals and Conservatives are still technically tied when factoring in the survey’s margin of error.“So [it’s a] statistical dead heat when it comes to national ballot support,” Nanos said.

 

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niknanos Do you see the common thread with mail in ballots amongst world wide socialists and communists?

niknanos of course .... like in the US fraudulent mail ballots , anything to win the election.

PaolaQP1231 niknanos Nothing but liberal propaganda paid by JustinTrudeau

niknanos Here we go again with the 'mail in' ballots. Maybe he should be called Just in Biden

niknanos Booooo

niknanos More propaganda by the so called media story tellers.

niknanos Sounds like voter tampering too me

niknanos People voting for Justin are the most fucked up people. Legit either they are blind or believe in destroying Canada.

niknanos Of course....even if it was someone else in the lead...it still would be Trudumb!!! A lot of Canadians feel like it’ll be rigged somehow!!

niknanos Who is opening these ballots early? More corruption

niknanos Contracts.

niknanos Sounds like cheating.

niknanos Why are these votes being counted early. Who is sharing this information with Nick Nanos and shouldnt they be charged crininally?

niknanos But the votes haven't been opened!

niknanos More lib paid BS...

niknanos Well, the CLlNT0NS are at it again. That’s why JT is so cocky, he knows it’s rigged for him. There is no way libs could win otherwise. I sure hope Canadians won’t except this kind of fraud like they did in the 🇺🇸. And don’t fcking tell me there wasnt fraud in the US.

niknanos Could this be more Liberal lies? 🤔 Wouldn't be the first, won't be the last!🤣🤣

niknanos How would Nanos and the CTV know what us in the Mail in Ballots? Is this legal?

niknanos A very stupid statement indeed How can you know what the results are on mail in voting? Is the 'fix' already in? Guess the media bailout $$ is at work MediaLies

niknanos Hmm, the way cdnmedia has been covering this election, this story has me wondering if this is legit reporting or a way to sabotage potential voting patterns?🤔cdnpoli Elxn44 polcan

niknanos A vote for JustinTrudeau is a vote for more of the same policies that benefit liberals and their followers. Trudeau needs to go!

niknanos CTV offers a tweet that’s sole purpose is to link you to niknanos and his projections from mail-in ballots yet to be counted. I just can’t imagine why Canadians might think CTV took the money?

niknanos What a ridiculous tweet! How would anyone in your organization have any inclination that mail in ballots are in favour of the liberal party?

niknanos Too bad for Canada.

niknanos Another corrupt Biden-like special! Let me guess …abandon truck loads of all liberal voted mail in ballots being found ?

niknanos We don’t really know this, we just know that polling by Nik Nanos says this. The only poll that counts is election day. If you want Liberals to win get out and vote Liberal on Monday! elxn2021

niknanos Is this not election interference? Mail in ballots aren’t counted until the day of the election. Typical MSM doing what they’re paid to do 🤦‍♂️

niknanos More left wing narrative shaping and election influencing from the bought and paid for left wing media.

niknanos Given that ballots are confidential and exit polling is illegal how is it possible to know this? Liberal biased media is rediculous

niknanos

niknanos 🐂💩

niknanos Wait - I thought mail in ballots won't be counted until after the election day? sunlorrie isn't that want you were saying?

niknanos Bullshit… smells as bad as the US mail-in bullshit

niknanos Well no sense voting now. I see CTV and Nanos have already declared a liberal victory.

niknanos Its discouraging to think so many Canadians are so uninformed by biased media they may actually re elect Trudeau. Sad sad sad

niknanos Can you report the news please, not suppositions ?

niknanos The uncanny ability of Trudeau Liberal pollsters to project the future is amazing. SunnyWays

niknanos

niknanos Wow lazy liberals are mailing in instead of actually heading to the polls. No surprise here. Still scared of the virus propaganda machine perhaps.

PaolaQP1231 niknanos Nanos,all fake polling

niknanos ElectionsCan_E how is this possible to know right now?

niknanos Puis par le vote par anticipation qu’on a déjà comptabilisé? Que c’est ça

niknanos

niknanos Once again NO one outside of the west gives a damn about western families and if we can feed our them or not...6 years of harmful policies have punished western Canadians for just trying to have jobs while China and Trudeau destroy everything we've built...good job eastern Canada

niknanos Sounds more like Nanos cheerleading, or a Nanos wet dream About as non-partisan as Rosie Barton FFS

niknanos It's time for ElectionsCan_E to put a stop to this false polling info just as they called put Elizabeth May when she did it. Cons and Libs are stalled and deservedly so.

niknanos Really? You are very misleading. Your headline should say “Liberals are projected to win with votes…Blah, blah, blah”. No wonder no one likes govt paid mainstream media anymore, misinformation.

niknanos

niknanos They've already counted mail-in ballots? That was fast

niknanos CTV…Trudeau Cheerleaders…WTF?

niknanos I didn't vote for them. You shouldn't either. Demand better. Vote NDP. Unless you're rich. But you're almost certainly not. So why are you voting Liberal?

niknanos Fucking puke

niknanos Certains qualifient ça de fake news

niknanos Haha...if you counted them then you should be charged.

niknanos WTF! CTV….you call yourselves journalists? No votes are counted until Election Day… a bunch of shills is all you are and not very good ones at that.

niknanos Fake news Misleading Liberal funded media

niknanos This all seems very suspect at best…

niknanos Mail-in ballots, huh...?

niknanos Another CTV payback of all the $ the Libs gave them. FO

niknanos 🤔

niknanos Wishful thinking but that’s all it is. Monday will tell the tale!

niknanos How does any one Know what is In the mail in Ballots sounds like a breech in trust. Has anyone at CTV Questioned that?

niknanos Really, ? You're basing that 'news' on a poll? Maybe you're right. Most voters are content in their little bubbles, and would vote Liberal because it requires zero thought or real concern for others. Or maybe the NDP will make serious gains this election. I hope so.

niknanos No ballot has been counted yet.

PaolaQP1231 niknanos How severely are the mail in ballots manipulated. How many fake ballots.

niknanos Ignore Nanos. Do not count chickens that are not hatched. Get out and VoteLiberal.

ryck_nancy niknanos What else would you expect, nik Nanos works for the Liberals.

niknanos I call bull crap

niknanos Awesome so no need to vote on Monday! Good job.

niknanos That's not what Nanos even said.

niknanos How is this legal journalism 2 days before an election? Propaganda bought and paid for.

niknanos We all better get out there and vote people!It's obviously the seniors that mail in the most?Can't imagine in the west what will happen if Trudeau gets a 4 year majority! SupportersOfPPC We'll lose jobs, we'll go broke from inflation and taxes because of the peoplespca NOT NOW!

niknanos Lies

niknanos Nope. No way of knowing that.

niknanos

niknanos How do they know that? 🤦🏻‍♂️😂

niknanos I hope so

niknanos How do you know who the votes are for?!!

niknanos So greasy it’s absolutely disgusting 🤮 TrudeauMustGo paidmedia

niknanos Rigged election

niknanos Start the recount and voter confirmation already. 😂

niknanos Voter fraud

niknanos Need to stop running anti Trudeau commercials. He called an election for us not himself !!!! Give the guy a break.

niknanos Fix.

niknanos This is Electoral interference by swaying votes.

niknanos Also how does info like this even get out? Should they not be counted on election day?

niknanos Oh no! The conservatives will claim the mail-in votes are not legal. The election was rigged!

niknanos Uh oh, here it comes. I smell accusations of rigged election coming on

niknanos I hope Liberals stay in power for next 20 years.After 20 years will be no Canada any more....

niknanos Bull Sh*t. Ballots cannot be counted. What the h*ll CTV?

niknanos Have to break the cycle.

niknanos They are counting votes already?

niknanos MISLEADING. 'Hey, my dog told me Trudeau will win, so.....Liberals!' The ballots won't be counted until polls close next Monday. To say that the result is known now is just biased reporting - and a heavily biased pollster.

niknanos Remember when everyone wondered why he said he called clinton instead of biden

niknanos BS 🖕

niknanos It should be wrong to announce results before the voting is over. It can sway an election

niknanos So is Nanos privy to count the mail in votes? Why does he have access to this information and was electioncanada allowed to release votes prior to the election? smellarat liberalfavortism

niknanos Breaking News: Covid-19 has officially endorsed the CPC. When asked who they’d be voting for, Covid replied “We like the PPC’s ‘let Covid rip’ attitude, but too many nazis. Kenney and Ford have proven the CPC can get things done. Love Covid? Vote CPC_HQ “

niknanos Lmaoo of course this is the only way they can win! Fake ballots!

niknanos Everyone who followed polls and only polls seemed to have completely forgotten Nova Scotia.

niknanos Seems like CTV is attempting to swing an election.

niknanos How, pray tell, would Nic Nanos, or anyone else, know how the mail-in vote is going? Cheering for his buddies is one thing, but this is just phooey that he’s peddling

niknanos 👍🏽

niknanos How could they have any clue, the ballots are supposed to be private!

niknanos Blind leading the blind

niknanos What kind of BS are you trying to push on us CTVNews? No one will know the ballot count until Election Day. In case you don’t remember the election is on September 20 and ballots are not counted before then. Elxn44 cndpoli Media CBCNews GlobalNews

niknanos The mail in system is all part of their plan for a rigged election just like USA

niknanos 8% of Canadians are voting by mail; with that they are able to project that the Liberals will win 😂🤦🏽‍♂️

niknanos No one had a doubt “mail in ballots “ would decide this election😉. Democracy is over

niknanos

niknanos CTV bought and paid for by Liberal tax dollars.

niknanos This would be the sign that lots of Canadians vote for Corruption!

niknanos Nanos is a well-known Liberal pollster so his predictions should be taken with a grain of salt until other polls (and election day) weigh in.

niknanos CHEATERS

niknanos Just like biden won mail in ballot scam

niknanos And how would Nic Nanos know that Liberal's are going to win? The election is on Monday and unless they where illegally opened!

niknanos Because the old people who are too frail to vote in person must be liberals

niknanos Well I sure hope so.

niknanos Um. I don't trust mail in ballots.

niknanos Liberals are nothing but a selfish party wasting tax payers money $610mil. trying to gain a majority Government. Where they could of used that money to help much needed Canadians. SHAME

niknanos 👀 Replies on this thread trying to *undermine the legitimacy of our election*. 😡

niknanos I smell a majority.

niknanos too bad...

niknanos Rigged

niknanos Two things are clear from this thread(and many like it). 1.Many don't read others posts let alone the article 2. Right wingers are already preparing to lose and blame it on a 'fixed' election if they do. Suppose they can always see if CyberNinjas are ready to run the audit.

niknanos Wow winning by projections....thats sounds accurate

niknanos Whoa….is this something that should be shared BEFORE everyone has voted?

niknanos This post us very fishy, could it be aother Liberal lie? OUR early votes are not supposed to be counted until election day. Elections Canada said it could take up to 5 days to count them all. This should not be allowed either. Report this to Elections Canada.

niknanos Wow! Nearly seems fixed.

mini_bubbly niknanos Oh please be true 🇨🇦🙏🏼🌹

niknanos Once again we're gonna prove to be a low IQ country of people who enjoy being bossed around by corrupt Liberals

niknanos Are the mail in ballots being opened before sept 20th? How would one know this?

niknanos What kind of bullshit is this? Why are votes being counted before election day? Why are any results being published in advance that can swing election results? What the F?

niknanos Begin with the MSMPollsterBias end in mind.

niknanos Unfortunately my vote was a negative one. Would never vote for Conservatives...remember Harper too well and while I loved Loved NDP platform Singh has got little resume to carry platform. So Trudeau it is

niknanos So how is this known as no ballots are being counted till election close? This sounds suspect. Nat_Div_RCMP ElectionsCan_E please explain. What checks and balances to prevent FRAUD

niknanos I guess Nanos knows something no one else does since the ballots cannot be counted until the polls close on Monday. But hey why not try & stir up a little 💩. 🙄

niknanos How is this public knowledge? Should it even be? Unduly influencing electoral outcomes before E Day is wrong on so many levels. What evidence do we have that these mail-in ballots are even 4× more likely to go to LPC than CPC?

niknanos How do they know, I haven't voted yet.

niknanos

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