338Canada: O'Toole's numbers sour - Macleans.ca

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Philippe J. Fournier: Even within his own party, the Conservative leader is increasingly viewed unfavourably, pointing to challenges ahead to grow the party's base

O'Toole walks to the podium at the start of a news conference on Parliament Hill on Feb. 26, 2021

Léger’s latest poll also suggests that satisfaction with the federal government’s handling of the pandemic has ticked upwards after several weeks of decline. Among the poll’s respondents, 57 per cent say they are satisfied with the federal government, including 53 per cent in Ontario, 58 per cent in Quebec and 61 per cent in British Columbia. As for satisfaction levels with provincial governments, they are highest in Atlantic Canada , Quebec and B.C. .

Abacus Data’s regular national surveys have shown impressions of the Prime Minister have remained mostly stable since last September. In this latest poll, 37 per cent of respondents held a positive impression of Justin Trudeau, against 40 per cent with negative impressions. According to Abacus Data CEO: “For comparison purposes, in the final days of the 2019 campaign, 38 per cent had a positive view while 45 per cent had a negative view of the Liberal leader.

The proportion of Liberal voters who hold a favourable view of Singh is triple those holding a negative impression . Half of Conservatives voters view Jagmeet Singh unfavourably. This suggests O’Toole could potentially have a hard time growing the conservative base and converting voters from other parties. also measured dwindling numbers for O’Toole, whose net favourability plummeted seven points since ARI’s previous poll in January, going from minus-15 to minus-22, the lowest score among federal leaders.

The Conservatives win an average of 112 seats, well within range of their 2019-result of 121 seats, but significantly below where the CPC needs to be to win at least a plurality in Ottawa. Even though the national race appears within range in the popular vote, the seat projection is skewed by the fact that Conservatives are still trailing the Liberals by an average of 8 points in Ontario, and sitting as a distant third in Quebec, behind the Liberals and the Bloc Québécois.

 

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CPC_HQ & erinotoole need to adapt to the fact that aboriginal peoples still need meaningful reconciliation b/c Libs failed

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