Why Falling U.S. Inventories Fail to Lift Oil Prices

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Why Falling U.S. Inventories Fail to Lift Oil Prices
Crude Oil WTI Futures
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Kemp: Between June 21 and July 19, commercial crude inventories in the United States fell by a total of 24 million barrels.

While rising tensions in the Middle East have kept prices from collapsing, gains have been limited by concerns about weaker demand in China and signs that the physical crude market is not as tight as many analysts had expected at the start of the summer. This compared with a build of 3.3 million barrels for the previous week when production averaged 9.5 million bpd.

“Although the latest EIA weekly stocks data have helped flip the month-to-date July observable on-land stocks trends from a build to a small overall draw, while recent US gasoline demand has looked much stronger, oil markets remain in risk-off mood,” analysts at consultancy FGE wrote in a note on Friday.

“As such, without further evidence yet of sustained stockdraws, any upside for crude prices and structure may be limited in the immediate short-term,” FGE said.

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